Proven Group Limited

RATING ACTION:

On November 9, 2023, CariCRIS upgraded the assigned corporate credit ratings by 1-notch to CariBBB+ (Foreign and Local Currency) on the regional rating scale to PROVEN Group Limited (PROVEN or the Group). A stable outlook was assigned.

RATING SENSITIVITY FACTORS:

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to an improvement of the rating and/or outlook:

  • Cost to Income ratio improves to 75% and below
  • Improvement in financial performance leading to operating profits and PAT over FY2020-FY2022 averages of US $6.9 million and US $20.1 million respectively

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a lowering of the rating and/or outlook:

  • Economic environment negatively impacting revenue streams leading to losses
  • Increase of PROVEN’s stand-alone debt to equity ratio to above 2 times
  • A systemic increase in liquidity pressures in the environment leading to funding withdrawals from large institutional investors
  • Cost to Income ratio weakens to over 75% for another year
  • Another year of reduced share of profits from JMMBGL in line with FY2023

Analysts’ Contact Info:

Anelia Oudit
Mobile : 1-868-487-8364

aoudit@caricris.com   

Jeffrey James

jjames@caricris.com  

www.caricris.com 

info@caricris.com  

Disclaimer: CariCRIS has taken due care and caution in compilation of data for this product. Information has been obtained by CariCRIS from sources which it considers reliable.  However, CariCRIS does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information.  No part of this report may be published / reproduced in any form without CariCRIS’ prior written approval.  CariCRIS is also not responsible for any errors in transmission and especially states that it has no financial liability whatsoever to the subscribers/ users/ transmitters/ distributors of this product.

NCB (Cayman) Limited

CariCRIS reaffirms ‘good creditworthiness’ ratings for NCB (Cayman) Limited

NCB Capital Markets Limited

RATING ACTION:

On November 14, 2023, CariCRIS upgraded the assigned Issuer/ Corporate Ratings to CariA (Local Currency Rating) on the regional scale and reaffirmed jmAA- (Local Currency Rating) on the Jamaica national scale to NCB Capital Markets Limited (NCBCML or the Company). A stable outlook was maintained.

RATING SENSITIVITY FACTORS:

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to an improvement of the ratings and/ or Outlook include:

  • Improving profitability by 10% or more for 2 consecutive periods as a result of higher income earned from its asset management and investment banking segments
  • Improvement in 1-year Liquidity Gap ratio to 35% or better for two consecutive years
  • Improvement in the GoJ’s credit rating leading to an improved credit risk profile of NCBJ
  • Growth in TNW by 15% or more for 2 consecutive financial periods

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a lowering of the ratings and/ or Outlook include:

  •  Worsening of NCBCML’s short-term J$ liquidity measures over a 24-month period
  • A downgrade in the GoJ’s credit rating leading to a deteriorated credit risk profile of NCBJ
  • A reduction in NCBCML’s capital adequacy ratio to below the Systematically Important Financial Institution (SIFI) regulatory minimum of 14%
  • A Reduction in PAT by 15% or more for 2 consecutive financial periods
  • A contraction in TNW by 17.5% or more for 2 consecutive financial periods

Analysts’ Contact Info:

Keith Hamlet

Mobile : 1-868-487-8356

khamelt@caricris.com

Maxwell Gooding

mgooding@caricris.com

www.caricris.com 

info@caricris.com

NCB Merchant Bank (Trinidad and Tobago) Limited

RATING ACTION:

On November 14, 2023, CariCRIS reaffirmed the assigned Issuer/ Corporate Ratings of CariA (Local and Foreign Currency Rating) on the regional scale and ttA (Local Currency Rating) on the Trinidad and Tobago national scale to NCB Merchant Bank (Trinidad and Tobago) Limited (NCB Merchant or the Company). A stable outlook was maintained.

RATING SENSITIVITY FACTORS:

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to an improvement of the ratings and/ or Outlook include:

  • The successful rollout of the Company’s income rebalancing strategy leading to a greater contribution to total income from its Retail and Business Banking Division to over 40%
  • A reduction in the reliance on institutional funding to under 50%
  • Sustained increase in profitability of 15% or more for 2 consecutive financial years
  • A reduction in the exposure to the Government in the loan portfolio to 60%

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a lowering of the ratings and/ or Outlook include:

  • Net interest spread compression leading to a reduction in profit after tax (PAT) by greater than 15% sustained for 2 financial years
  • A systematic increase in liquidity pressures in the environment, leading to funding withdrawals in excess of 50% from large institutional investors, and a worsening of short-term TT$ liquidity measures over an 18-month period
  • Deterioration in the Parent’s (NCB Capital Markets Limited or NCBCML) credit rating that could materially impact the extent of credit support available to NCB Merchant

Analysts’ Contact Info:

Keith Hamlet

Mobile : 1-868-487-8356

khamelt@caricris.com

Maxwell Gooding

mgooding@caricris.com

www.caricris.com 

info@caricris.com  

NCB Merchant Bank (Trinidad and Tobago) Limited

CariCRIS reaffirms overall ‘good creditworthiness’ ratings for NCB Merchant Bank (Trinidad and Tobago) Limited

Read More

NCB Capital Markets (Barbados) Limited

RATING ACTION:

On November 14, 2023, CariCRIS upgraded the Issuer/Corporate Credit ratings assigned to NCB Capital Markets (Barbados) Limited (NCB Barbados, NCBCMBL or the Company) by 1 notch to CariBBB+ (Foreign and Local Currency Ratings) on its regional rating scale. A stable outlook was assigned.

RATING SENSITIVITY FACTORS:

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to an improvement in the ratings and/or outlook include:

  • Improvements in the credit risk profiles of the Government of Jamaica and/or the Government of Barbados
  • Improvement in profitability over the next 12 to 15 months supported by earnings from the Eastern Caribbean region
  • Successful roll-out of new services leading to further diversity in income-earning capability
  • An improvement in the TNW to total assets ratio to 18%

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a lowering of the ratings and/or outlook include:

  • Significant deterioration in the credit risk profiles of the Government of Jamaica and/or the Government of Barbados
  • Deterioration in ROEA to below 1% sustained for 2 financial years
  • Deterioration in ROE to below 15% sustained for 2 financial years
  • Deterioration in the TNW to total assets ratio to below 10%
  • Deterioration in the ratio of total earning assets to interest-bearing liabilities to below 1 time

Analysts’ Contact Info:

Keith Hamlet

Mobile: 1-868-487-8356

khamlet@caricris.com

Megan Dass

Mobile: 1-868-487-8356

mdass@caricris.com

www.caricris.com   

info@caricris.com

NCB (Cayman) Limited

RATING ACTION:

On November 14, 2023, CariCRIS reaffirmed the assigned rating of CariA (Foreign and Local Currency Ratings) on the regional rating scale for NCB (Cayman) Limited. A stable outlook was assigned.

RATING SENSITIVITY FACTORS:

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to an improvement in the ratings and /or outlook include:

  • Improved profitability over the next year as a result of higher income earned from investments and/or loans, thereby contributing to Net Profit (NP) growth of 15% or more
  • A reduction in the Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) ratio to below 5%
  • Increase in TNW by 15% or more for 3 consecutive years

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a lowering of the ratings/or outlook include:

  • A decline in investment yield leading to a contraction in the net interest rate spread to below 1% over the next 12 to 15 months
  • NPLs to Gross Loans ratio of above 25% sustained for the next 12 months
  • Deterioration in the credit rating of National Commercial Bank Jamaica Limited (NCBJ or the Parent of NCBKY) that could materially impact the extent of support available to NCBKY

Analysts’ Contact Info:

Keith Hamlet

Mobile : 1-868-487-4356

khamlet@caricris.com

Sultan Mohammed

Mobile : 1-1868-362-7304

smohammed@caricris.com

www.caricris.com 

info@caricris.com  

Linstant Properties Limited (Linstant)

Linstant Properties graded ‘Excellent’

Caribbean Information and Credit Rating Services Limited (CariCRIS) has assigned the grading of SME 1 (Excellent) to Linstant Properties Limited (Linstant). The grading indicates that Linstant displays excellent business and financial performance and has excellent prospects for sustaining this performance.

The grading is driven by the following strengths: (1) the Company possesses a niche competitive monopoly position which gives it significant pricing power, (2) Linstant has developed several competitive advantages, (3) the Company displays strong management capabilities, (4) there are several operating efficiencies which help to control costs, and (5) robust growth is anticipated to be sustained in the medium-term. The grading strengths are tempered by the following factors: (1) high gearing, though consistent with the firm’s business model, (2) low barriers to entry for the industry; however, niche segmentation can provide sufficient protection, and (3) future prospects can benefit from a documented business plan.

Factors to monitor:

  • High leveraging
  • Cash flow management
  • Regional expansion plan execution.

Linstant is the owner and operator of the brand “Rent 2 Own Auto”. The Company’s core activity is the rental/sale of used cars via leasing or hire purchase agreements.

CariCRIS’ SME Gradings are offered to small and medium-sized businesses seeking to raising debt financing from financial institutions and/or the capital market. It provides an independent opinion on the creditworthiness of SMEs and their ability to service and repay current and proposed debt facilities.

For more information on Linstant Properties Limited’s grading, please visit www.caricris.com or contact:

Stefan FortunéCandace Williams
Snr Mgr – Ratings, Research & TrainingORAsst Mgr – Technical Services, Research & Training
Phone: 1-868-799-6751 (m)Phone: 1-868-713-6973 (m)
E-mail: sfortune@caricris.comE-mail: cwilliams@caricris.com

Note

This press release is transmitted to you for the sole purpose of dissemination through your agency/newspaper/magazine. You may use this press release in full or in part without changing the meaning or context thereof, but with due credit to CariCRIS. CariCRIS has the sole right of distribution of its press releases, for consideration or otherwise, through any media, including websites, portals, etc.

 

Access Financial Services Limited (AFS)

RATING ACTION:

On November 9, 2023, CariCRIS reaffirmed the assigned issuer/corporate credit ratings of CariBBB- (Local Currency Rating) and CariBB+ (Foreign Currency Rating) on the regional rating scale, and jmBBB+ (Local Currency Rating) and jmBBB (Foreign Currency Rating) on the Jamaica national scale for Access Financial Services Limited (AFS or the Group). A stable outlook was assigned.

RATING SENSITIVITY FACTORS:

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to an improvement in the ratings and /or outlook include:

  • An improvement in the credit risk profile of the Government of Jamaica
  • Improving business conditions over the next 12-15 months, thereby leading to growth in total asset base > 18% and/or sustained earnings growth > 10% over the next 2 years
  • Diversity in revenue streams through the successful launch of new products

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a lowering of the ratings/or outlook include:

  • A deterioration in the credit risk profile of the Government of Jamaica
  • Change in AFS’ debt/ TNW or TNW/Total Assets ratios > 1.5 times or < 25% respectively
  • A sustained decrease in yield from interest earning assets > 600 basis points over the next 12-15 months, thereby leading to a tightening of the net interest spread earned
  • A fall in AFS’ net loans and advances by more than 20%
  • A deterioration in AFS’ Gross NPLs/Gross Loans ratio to > 8%

Analysts’ Contact Info:

Anelia Oudit

Mobile : 1-868-487-8364

aoudit@caricris.com

Kyla Balwant

kbalwant@caricris.com

www.caricris.com 

info@caricris.com  

Seprod Limited

RATING ACTION:

On November 9, 2023, CariCRIS upgraded the assigned Issuer/Corporate Credit Rating by 1-notch to CariA (Local Currency Rating) on the regional rating scale and reaffirmed the Jamaica national scale ratings of jmAA- (Local Currency Rating) and jmA+ (Foreign Currency Rating) to Seprod Limited (Seprod or the Group). A stable outlook was assigned.

RATING SENSITIVITY FACTORS:

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to an improvement of the rating and/or outlook:

  • An improvement in the GOJ’s credit rating over the next 12-15 months
  • Sustained improvement in Group PAT by over 15% or more annually for another year
  • An improvement in the effective DSCR to above 1.5 times respectively for the next 2 years

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a lowering of the rating and/or outlook:

  • A deterioration in the GOJ’s credit rating over the next 12-15 months
  • The Group’s effective DSCR remains below 1.5 times

Analysts’ Contact Info:

Anelia Oudit

Mobile : 1-868-487-8364

aoudit@caricris.com

Kyla Balwant

kbalwant@caricris.com

www.caricris.com 

info@caricris.com