GraceKennedy Limited

RATING DRIVERS

Supporting Factors:

  • Strong market position supported by a well-established brand and long history in the Jamaican food trading industry
  • Robust corporate governance structure and risk management practices
  • Integrated operations in the Food Trading Division enables value chain maximisation and increased operational efficiencies
  • History of good financial performance characterized by consistent revenue growth and profitability as well as adequate debt protection metrics

Constraining Factors:

  • Significant sovereign risk exposure in Jamaica alongside uncertainties in the global economic environment are likely to present key downside risks to the operations and profitability of GKL

Rating Sensitivity Factors

Factors that can lead to an improvement in the ratings /outlook:

  • An improvement in CariCRIS’ sovereign credit risk rating of Jamaica

Factors that can lead to a lowering of the Ratings/Outlook:

  • Decline in DSCR ratio to <1.33 times
  • Increase in Debt to EBITDA ratio to >4.0 times
  • A lowering of CariCRIS’ sovereign credit risk rating of Jamaica

COMPANY BACKGROUND

GraceKennedy Limited (GKL or the Group) is a Food and Financial Services conglomerate that was incorporated in 1922 and is domiciled in Jamaica. The Group, which is listed on the Stock Exchanges of Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago (T&T), was originally founded by Dr. John J. Grace[1] and Mr. Fred William Kennedy who acquired the shares of the wholly Jamaican subsidiary, Grace Limited, of W.R. Grace and Company[2]. W. R. Grace and Company is a Chemical Conglomerate based in the United States of America (U.S.A.) that for much of its early history was involved in maritime shipping, mining, and agriculture in South America. W. R. Grace & Company divested its operations in Jamaica during the latter part of the global economic depression of 1920 – 1921. GraceKennedy and Company Limited was formed on February 14, 1922, and initially operated as a small trading establishment that eventually expanded to include mercantile, commercial and other related businesses.

Over the ensuing years, the Group’s focus has been on regional and international expansion as well as diversification of its business lines through mergers and acquisitions, the development of strategic partnerships and organic growth. GKL’s operations have now expanded to include 46 subsidiaries, 6 associated companies and 2 joint ventures with operations in over 40 countries that include Jamaica, the U.S.A., the United Kingdom (U.K), Canada and several other Caribbean, African and European countries (Chart A). The Group’s total assets stood at J $167.3 billion[3] as at December 2020 and its total operating revenue for the year ended was J $115.4 billion, with approximately 53.4% of total operating revenue being derived from Jamaica.

The Group is organized into two (2) divisions, GK Foods, and GK Financial Group, with the revenue from GK Foods representing around 79% of total revenue annually. GK Foods’ principal activities include (i) the merchandising of general goods and food products, both locally and internationally; (ii) manufacturing/processing of food products through GKL owned factories and external suppliers; (iii) the distribution of Grace, Grace-owned and third-party brands in Jamaica and internationally; (iv) the operation of retail outlets through the Hi-Lo Supermarket chain in Jamaica.

[1] Dr. Grace, a member of the family that founded the predecessor company, W. R. Grace and Company Ltd, worked at the predecessor company Grace Limited – www.wikipedia.com.

[2] W. R. Grace and Company Ltd was founded in Peru in 1854 by Mr. William Russell Grace, an Irish immigrant who settled in South America with his family – www.wikipedia.com.

[3] Total assets have been adjusted to exclude intangible assets, unrealized gains/(losses) and contingencies.

Analytical Contacts:

André Joseph

Tel: 1-868-627-8879 Ext. 224

Mobile: 1-868-788-4693

E-mail: ajoseph@caricris.com

Anelia Oudit

Tel: 1-868-627-8879 Ext. 226

Mobile: 1-868-487-8364

E-mail: aoudit@caricris.com

Website: www.caricris.com

Email: info@caricris.com

Disclaimer: CariCRIS has taken due care and caution in compilation of data for this product. Information has been obtained by CariCRIS from sources which it considers reliable. However, CariCRIS does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information. No part of this report may be published / reproduced in any form without CariCRIS’ prior written approval. CariCRIS is also not responsible for any errors in transmission and especially states that it has no financial liability whatsoever to the subscribers/ users/ transmitters/ distributors of this product.

GraceKennedy Limited

CariCRIS assigns ‘good’ creditworthiness ratings to the proposed bond issue of up to J $3 billion of GraceKennedy Limited

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Sagicor Group Jamaica Limited

CariCRIS lowers the regional scale ratings for Sagicor Group Jamaica Limited

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Sagicor Group Jamaica Limited

RATING DRIVERS

Supporting Factors

  • Leading market positions and strong brand equity supports a consistent and healthy financial performance
  • Good financial performance despite a challenging operating environment
  • Comfortable capitalization levels
  • Strong and comprehensive enterprise risk management

Constraining Factors

  • Protracted low interest rate environment has the potential to challenge the Group’s asset liability management
  • Significant sovereign risk exposure combined with declining economic conditions in Jamaica

Rating Sensitivity Factors

Factors that could lead to an improvement of the rating and/ or Outlook include:

  • An increase in our internal ratings assigned to the sovereign, driven by continued favourable improvements in the macroeconomic environment of Jamaica and a lowering of the debt/GDP ratio

Factors that could lead to a lowering of the rating and/ or Outlook include:

  • Substantial deterioration in the financial performance and profitability of the Group, with a greater than 10% fall in premium income and an accompanying 10% rise in operating expenses

COMPANY BACKGROUND

Sagicor Group Jamaica Limited (“SGJ” or the “Group”) is a financial services conglomerate that was incorporated in 2013 and is domiciled in Jamaica. The company, which is listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange (JSE), is 32.45% owned by LOJ Holdings Limited and 16.66% owned by Sagicor Life Incorporated, both wholly owned subsidiaries of Sagicor Financial Company Limited (SFC)[1]. Its other major shareholder is PanJam Investment Limited (30.2%). The Group is comprised of thirteen (13) subsidiaries with operations in three main countries, these being Jamaica, The Cayman Islands and the United States of America.   Its three (3) largest operating subsidiaries are Sagicor Life Jamaica Limited (SLJ), Sagicor Bank Jamaica Limited (SBJ) and Sagicor Investments Jamaica Limited (SIJ). The Group offers an extensive range of financial products and services in the areas of insurance, banking, asset management, real estate and retirement planning. As at September 30, 2020 the Group’s total assets stood at J $474.5 billion and total revenue was J $60.2 billion[2]. In 2019, SGJ declared profit attributable to shareholders of J $15.7 billion, the second highest of conglomerates listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange.

[1] Following the completion of the business combination and strategic acquisition of Sagicor Financial Corporation by Alignvest Acquisition II Corporation, a Toronto-based Special Purpose Acquisition Corporation (SPAC) in December 2019, a new entity, Sagicor Financial Company Limited was incorporated and listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

[2] Unaudited Interim Accounts for the 9 months ended September 2020.

Analytical Contacts:

André Joseph

Tel: 1-868-627-8879 Ext. 224

Mobile: 1-868-788-4693

E-mail: ajoseph@caricris.com

Anelia Oudit

Tel: 1-868-627-8879 Ext. 226

Mobile: 1-868-487-8364

E-mail: aoudit@caricris.com

Website: www.caricris.com

E-mail: info@caricris.com

Disclaimer: CariCRIS has taken due care and caution in compilation of data for this product. Information has been obtained by CariCRIS from sources which it considers reliable. However, CariCRIS does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information. No part of this report may be published / reproduced in any form without CariCRIS’ prior written approval. CariCRIS is also not responsible for any errors in transmission and especially states that it has no financial liability whatsoever to the subscribers/ users/ transmitters/ distributors of this product.

Sagicor Life Jamaica Limited (SLJ)

CariCRIS reaffirms ‘highest creditworthiness’ rating for Sagicor Life Jamaica Limited

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Sagicor Life Jamaica Limited (SLJ)

RATING DRIVERS

Supporting Factors

  • Leading market position in the Jamaica insurance industry and a strong distribution network support a consistent and healthy financial performance
  • Overall financial stability supported by continued healthy profitability
  • Strong capitalisation level, in excess of regulatory requirement

Constraining Factors

  • Protracted low interest rate environment has the potential to challenge SLJ’s Asset Liability Management position
  • Significant business and financial exposure to the highly indebted Jamaican economy

Rating Sensitivity Factors

Factors that could lead to an improvement of the rating and/ or Outlook include:

  • Improvements in the macroeconomic environment of Jamaica resulting in sustained higher levels of economic growth, i.e., real GDP growth of 2% – 3% sustained over the next 12 – 15 months, or significantly lower debt levels i.e., a debt to GDP ratio of below 75% by December 2022

Factors that could lead to a lowering of the rating and/ or Outlook include:

  • Restructuring of the sovereign (GoJ) debt profile leading to a haircut in the principal of government bonds or a more than 30% reduction in the value of these bonds, thereby adversely impacting SLJ’s concentrated long term annuity business
  • Deterioration in the financial performance and profitability of SLJ, with a greater than 9% fall in premium income

COMPANY BACKGROUND

Sagicor Life Jamaica Limited (SLJ or the Company), a member of the Sagicor Group of Companies, commenced operations in 1970 as the first Jamaican-owned life insurance company. In 2013, a holding company, Sagicor Group Jamaica Limited (SGJ) was established, and this entity owns 100% of SLJ. Sagicor Life Incorporated (SLI) is the majority shareholder of SGJ and the principal operating subsidiary of Sagicor Financial Company Limited (SFC)[1], which itself owns 49.11% of SGJ. SLJ is considered the main operating subsidiary of SGJ. Following the reorganisation of the Jamaican operations, SLJ was delisted from the Jamaica Stock Exchange and replaced by SGJ.

The Company, operating through 12 branches, markets an extensive range of long-term and equity-linked Individual Life insurance products, Group Life, Group Health, Personal Accident plans and Group Pension plans. Some of the Company’s other services include residential and commercial mortgages, annuities, real estate development and management, investment management and lease financing.

[1] Following the completion of the business combination and strategic acquisition of Sagicor Financial Corporation by Alignvest Acquisition II Corporation, a Toronto-based Special Purpose Acquisition Corporation (SPAC) in December 2019, a new entity, Sagicor Financial Company Limited was incorporated and listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange

Analytical Contacts:

André Joseph

Tel: 1-868-627-8879 Ext. 224

Cell: 1-868-788-4693

E-mail: ajoseph@caricris.com

Keith Hamlet

Tel: 1-868-627-8879 Ext. 229

Cell: 1-868-487-8356

E-mail: khamlet@caricris.com

Website: www.caricris.com

E-mail: info@caricris.com

Disclaimer: CariCRIS has taken due care and caution in compilation of data for this product. Information has been obtained by CariCRIS from sources which it considers reliable. However, CariCRIS does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information. No part of this report may be published / reproduced in any form without CariCRIS’ prior written approval. CariCRIS is also not responsible for any errors in transmission and especially states that it has no financial liability whatsoever to the subscribers/ users/ transmitters/ distributors of this product.

Home Mortgage Bank’s Collateralised Mortgage Obligation – CMO 2019-01

CariCRIS lowers its overall ratings for the TT $200 million Collateralised Mortgage Obligation of Home Mortgage Bank

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Home Mortgage Bank’s Collateralised Mortgage Obligation – CMO 2019-01

RATING DRIVERS

 Supporting Factors

  • Simple transaction structure, with effective credit enhancement built in
  • Legal and regulatory framework supporting the transaction provides adequate protection to investors
  • TTMF’s sound underwriting practices underpin historically good asset quality

Constraining Factor

  • Considerable deterioration in credit quality of the securitised loans in the mortgage pool
  • Mortgage pool seasoning along with a challenging economic environment could increase default risk

Rating Sensitivity Factors

Factor that could lead to an improvement of the ratings and/ or Outlook include:

  • A return to delinquency levels of 2% – 4% within the underlying mortgage pool over the next 12-15 months.

Factor that could lead to a lowering of the ratings and/ or Outlook include:

  • Persistent delinquency levels of above 20% within the underlying mortgage pool leading to heightened extension and/ or default risk over the next 12-15 months

BACKGROUND

CMO 2019-01 is a structured finance debt instrument issued by the Home Mortgage Bank (HMB or The Bank) to securitise residential mortgage assets purchased from the Trinidad & Tobago Mortgage Finance Company Limited (TTMF or the Company) on the secondary market. CMO 2019-01 offers participation certificates in 9 tranches in the amount of TT $200 million as follows:

Analytical Contacts:

André Joseph

Tel: 1-868-627-8879 Ext. 224

Mobile 1-868-788-4693

E-mail: ajoseph@caricris.com

Anelia Oudit

Tel: 1-868-627-8879 Ext. 226

Mobile: 1-868-487-8364

E-mail: aoudit@caricris.com

Website: www.caricris.com

E-mail: info@caricris.com

Disclaimer: CariCRIS has taken due care and caution in compilation of data for this product. Information has been obtained by CariCRIS from sources which it considers reliable. However, CariCRIS does not guarantee the accuracy,adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information. No part of this report may be published / reproduced in any form without CariCRIS’ prior written approval. CariCRIS is also not responsible for any errors in transmission and especially states that it has no financial liability whatsoever to the subscribers/ users/ transmitters/ distributors of this product.

NiQuan placed on Rating Watch – Developing

NiQuan placed on Rating Watch – Developing

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NiQuan placed on Rating Watch – Developing

Caribbean Information & Credit Rating Services Limited (CariCRIS), the region’s credit rating agency, has today placed NiQuan Energy Trinidad Limited (NETL or the Company) on Rating Watch – Developing. This Rating Action was taken following an incident at its Gas to Liquids plant at approximately 6:35 A.M. on April 7th, 2021. The Company indicated that the plant suffered a serious equipment failure during the start-up of the hydrocracker system that resulted in the blow out of its DA-301 system, a part of the product cleaning process, and caused a fire. The plant was immediately shut down and the fire was subsequently extinguished. Thankfully, the Company reported that there were no casualties. The Company’s personnel are currently working on determining the root cause of the equipment failure and the required safeguards to prevent recurrence going forward.

CariCRIS will liaise closely with the Company’s personnel over the coming days to determine the impact of this event on the Company’s credit rating. While we are pleased with progress made to date in getting the plant to produce GTL product, we are concerned that this incident may pose a further delay in the Company ramping up to full scale commercial production. This, in turn, could adversely impact the Company’s ability to effectively conclude the refinancing of its existing US $120 million debt facility.

A CariCRIS rating is placed on Rating Watch – Developing when events occur that may affect the credit quality of the issuer/issue, the impact of which cannot be accurately assessed at that point in time. A rating placed under Rating Watch does not imply that the rating will necessarily change.

We will be monitoring developments closely over the coming weeks and will adjust our assigned ratings accordingly.

April 09, 2021