Guyana Shore Base Incorporated

RATING ACTION:

On March 14, 2025, CariCRIS reaffirmed the issuer/corporate credit ratings assigned to Guyana Shore Base Incorporated (GYSBI or the Company) at CariAA- (Foreign and Local Currency Ratings) on its regional rating scale. A stable outlook was maintained.

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to an improvement in the ratings and/or outlook include:

  • Successful operations of GYSBI over the next 2 years, leading to ROA and ROE of 15% and 50% respectively, for 2 consecutive years.
  • A reduction in client concentration risk where a single client will not account for more than 50% of the Company’s revenue, sustained for 2 financial years

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a lowering of the ratings and/or outlook include:

  • Failure to satisfy any of the performance requirements of the contractual agreement with Exploration and Production Guyana Limited (EEPGL)
  • An increase in GYSBI’s operating expenses, resulting in a deterioration in the cost to income ratio to 85% or higher, sustained for 2 consecutive years
  • Failure of GYSBI to meet EEPGL’s key performance indicators (KPIs) stipulated in the 11-year contract
  • A reduction in revenue leading to a decline in the GP Margin to 35% or lower, sustained for 2 consecutive years
  • An increase in debt leading to increased leverage of above 3.5 times sustained for 2 financial periods
  • An increase in det servicing requirements, leading to a decrease in effective debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) to below 1.25 times sustained for 2 financial years

 

Analysts’ Contact Info:

Keith Hamlet
Mobile: 1-868-487-8356
khamlet@caricris.com

Sharlene Gordon
Mobile: 1-876-564-5230
sgordon@caricris.com

www.caricris.com
info@caricris.com

Disclaimer: CariCRIS has taken due care and caution in compilation of data for this product. Information has been obtained by CariCRIS from sources which it considers reliable. However, CariCRIS does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information. No part of this report may be published/ reproduced in any form without CariCRIS’ prior written approval. CariCRIS is also not responsible for any errors in transmission and especially states that it has no financial liability whatsoever to the subscribers/ users/ transmitters/ distributors of this product.

 

 

Guyana Shore Base Incorporated

CariCRIS reaffirms ‘high creditworthiness’ ratings of Guyana Shore Base Incorporated

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Home Mortgage Bank’s Collateralised Mortgage Obligation 2022-01

RATING ACTION:

On March 14, 2025, CariCRIS reaffirmed the Overall Issue Credit rating assigned to Home Mortgage Bank’s Collateralised Mortgage Obligation 2022-01 (HMB CMO 20022-01) at ttAA- (SO) (Local Currency Rating) on the Trinidad and Tobago national rating scale. A positive outlook was assigned.

RATING SENSITIVITY FACTORS:

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to an improvement in the ratings and/or outlook include:

  • Satisfactory repayment of Tranche B by January 15, 2026, with payment flows in line with or above CariCRIS’ expectations
  • Sustained improvement in Trinidad and Tobago Mortgage Bank Limited (TTMB)’s asset quality which reduces the originator risk

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a lowering of the ratings and/or outlook include:

  • Persistent deterioration in the mortgage pool quality with delinquency levels of above 10% and/ or ratio of non-performing loans (NPLs) to gross loans of above 5% within the underlying mortgage pool leading to heightened extension and/ or default risk
  • Deterioration in TTMB’s NPLs to gross loans ratio to above 10.5% sustained for 2 financial periods
  • Cashflow shortfalls from the mortgage pool that may impair payments of principals and interests
  • Replacement of TTMB as Administrator and HMB as Registrar and Paying Agent with a lower rated counterparty

 

Analysts’ Contact Info:

Keith Hamlet
Mobile: 1-868-487-8356
khamlet@caricris.com

Rudra Bhimsingh
rbhimsingh@caricris.com

www.caricris.com
info@caricris.com

Disclaimer: CariCRIS has taken due care and caution in compilation of data for this product. Information has been obtained by CariCRIS from sources which it considers reliable. However, CariCRIS does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information. No part of this report may be published/ reproduced in any form without CariCRIS’ prior written approval. CariCRIS is also not responsible for any errors in transmission and especially states that it has no financial liability whatsoever to the subscribers/ users/ transmitters/ distributors of this product.

 

 

Home Mortgage Bank’s Collateralised Mortgage Obligation 2022-01

CariCRIS reaffirms overall “high creditworthiness” rating of Home Mortgage Bank’s Collateralised Mortgage Obligation 2022-01

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The National Gas Company of Trinidad and Tobago Limited

RATING ACTION:

On March 14, 2025, CariCRIS reaffirmed the ratings currently assigned to the US $400 million debt issue of CariAA (Foreign and Local Currency Ratings) on the regional rating scale, and ttAA (Foreign and Local Currency Ratings) on the Trinidad and Tobago national scale to The National Gas Company of Trinidad and Tobago Limited (or the Company). A stable outlook was assigned.

RATING SENSITIVITY FACTORS:

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to an improvement in the ratings and/or outlook include:

  • An improvement in the CariCRIS credit rating of the GoRTT
  • An improvement in the CariCRIS credit rating of the GoRTT
  • An increase in the DSCR to >5 times sustained for 2 years leading to an improvement in the ability to service its amortised debt payments
  • A substantial decline in receivables from T&TEC leading to significant improvement in NGC’s cash flows

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a lowering of the ratings and/or outlook include:

  • A fall in gross profit margin to below 15%
  • A fall in gross profit margin to below 15% • A fall in the interest cover to < 1 time and/or effective DSCR to <1.5 times leading to a deterioration in the ability to service its interest and/or amortised debt payments
  • A sustained decline in international prices of ammonia/ methanol, leading to a material fall in PAT margin to below 1% due to significantly lower revenue
  • Inability to monetize receivables from T&TEC, significantly constraining NGC’s cash flows
  • Deterioration in the CariCRIS credit rating of the GoRTT

 

Analysts’ Contact Info:

Anelia Oudit
Mobile : 1-868-487-8364
aoudit@caricris.com

Brandon Singh
bsingh@caricris.com

www.caricris.com
info@caricris.com

Disclaimer: CariCRIS has taken due care and caution in compilation of data for this product. Information has been obtained by CariCRIS from sources which it considers reliable. However, CariCRIS does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information. No part of this report may be published/ reproduced in any form without CariCRIS’ prior written approval. CariCRIS is also not responsible for any errors in transmission and especially states that it has no financial liability whatsoever to the subscribers/ users/ transmitters/ distributors of this product.

 

Port Authority of Jamaica (PAJ)

RATING ACTION:

On March 14, 2025, CariCRIS reaffirmed the assigned corporate credit rating of CariA- (Foreign Currency Rating) and CariA (Local Currency Rating) on the regional rating scale and jmAA+ (Local Currency Rating) on the Jamaica national scale to Port Authority of Jamaica (PAJ or the Authority). A stable outlook was assigned.

RATING SENSITIVITY FACTORS:

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to an improvement in the ratings and/or outlook include:

  • An improvement in the credit rating of the sovereign over the next 12-15 months.
  • An improvement in the credit rating of the sovereign over the next 12-15 months.
  • A significant increase in total operating revenue or profit leading to the DSCR remaining above 2.5 times over the next 2 years.

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a lowering of the ratings and/or outlook include:

  • Unexpected material changes in the terms and conditions of its concession agreements with its cargo operators due to force majeure that will negatively impact the payment of guaranteed fixed revenue to the Authority.
  • Unexpected material changes in the terms and conditions of its concession agreements with its cargo operators due to force majeure that will negatively impact the payment of guaranteed fixed revenue to the Authority.
  • A decline in effective DSCR to 1.5 times or below, sustained over 2 consecutive years.
  • A decline in ROA to 1.4 times or below, sustained over 2 consecutive years.

 

Analysts’ Contact Info:

Anelia Oudit
Mobile : 1-868-487-8364
aoudit@caricris.com

Kyla Balwant
Mobile : 1-868-682-9919
kbalwant@caricris.com

www.caricris.com
info@caricris.com

Disclaimer: CariCRIS has taken due care and caution in compilation of data for this product. Information has been obtained by CariCRIS from sources which it considers reliable. However, CariCRIS does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information. No part of this report may be published/ reproduced in any form without CariCRIS’ prior written approval. CariCRIS is also not responsible for any errors in transmission and especially states that it has no financial liability whatsoever to the subscribers/ users/ transmitters/ distributors of this product.

 

Island Car Rentals Limited

RATING ACTION:

On March 14, 2025, CariCRIS reaffirmed the assigned Issuer/ Corporate Credit Ratings at CariBBB- (Foreign & Local Currency Ratings) on the regional scale and jmBBB+ (Foreign & Local Currency Ratings) on the Jamaica national scale to Island Car Rentals Limited (ICR or the Company). A stable outlook was assigned.

RATING SENSITIVITY FACTORS:

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to an improvement in the ratings and/or outlook include:

  • An improvement to the ratings of the Government of Jamaica
  • An improvement to the ratings of the Government of Jamaica
  • Operating profit margin increases to 45% or above, sustained for 2 consecutive years
  • Implementation of an Enterprise Risk Management Policy and further improvements to the Company’s corporate governance structure
  • A substantial reduction in debt leading to a debt to TNW ratio of below 1.0 time

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a lowering of the ratings and/or outlook include:

  • A deterioration to the ratings of the Government of Jamaica
  • A deterioration to the ratings of the Government of Jamaica
  • Operating profit margin declines to 30% or below, sustained over 2 consecutive years
  • A decline in DSCR to 2.0 times or below, sustained over 2 consecutive years
  • An increase in cost to income ratio above 75%

 

Analysts’ Contact Info:

Anelia Oudit
Mobile : 1-868-487-8364
aoudit@caricris.com

Brandon Singh
bsingh@caricris.com

www.caricris.com
info@caricris.com

Disclaimer: CariCRIS has taken due care and caution in compilation of data for this product. Information has been obtained by CariCRIS from sources which it considers reliable. However, CariCRIS does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of such information. No part of this report may be published/ reproduced in any form without CariCRIS’ prior written approval. CariCRIS is also not responsible for any errors in transmission and especially states that it has no financial liability whatsoever to the subscribers/ users/ transmitters/ distributors of this product.

 

 

The National Gas Company of Trinidad and Tobago Limited

CariCRIS reaffirms its ratings for The National Gas Company of Trinidad and Tobago Limited

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Island Car Rentals Limited

CariCRIS upgrades “adequate creditworthiness” ratings of Island Car Rentals Limited

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Port Authority of Jamaica (PAJ)

CariCRIS reaffirms ‘good creditworthiness’ ratings assigned to Port Authority of Jamaica (PAJ)

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